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studenti:mihita_cvitanovic:mc_start [2012/05/27 11:31]
mcvitanovic [Kronologija]
studenti:mihita_cvitanovic:mc_start [2023/06/19 16:21] (trenutno)
Redak 9: Redak 9:
 U vezi dodatnih informacija obratiti se mentoru. U vezi dodatnih informacija obratiti se mentoru.
  
 +Tekst rada: {{:​studenti:​mihita_cvitanovic:​cvitanovic-diplomski.pdf|Predstavljanje znanja stablom odlučivanja}}
 +
 +[[http://​diana.zesoi.fer.hr:​8080/​decisionTreeResolver/​|Aplikacija]] i {{:​studenti:​mihita_cvitanovic:​decisiontreeresolver.zip|kod aplikacije}}.
 ==== Kronologija ==== ==== Kronologija ====
  
Redak 355: Redak 358:
   * Provide a framework to quantify the values of outcomes and the probabilities of achieving them; white box model - If a given result is provided by a model, the explanation for the result is easily replicated by simple math   * Provide a framework to quantify the values of outcomes and the probabilities of achieving them; white box model - If a given result is provided by a model, the explanation for the result is easily replicated by simple math
   * Help us to make the best decisions on the basis of existing information and best guesses   * Help us to make the best decisions on the basis of existing information and best guesses
 + ​Izvor:​ [[http://​www.mindtools.com/​dectree.html]]
  
 +**Disadvantages of decision trees**
 +  * Even a small change in input data can at times, cause large changes in the tree
 +  * Decisions contained in the decision tree are based on expectations,​ and irrational expectations can lead to flaws and errors in the decision tree
 +  * Large decision trees can be unwieldy and complex to use
 + ​Izvor:​ [[http://​www.brighthub.com/​office/​project-management/​articles/​106005.aspx]]
  
-**Applications:**+ 
 +**Applications**
  
 Decision tress are used in the field of operational research, a discipline that deals with the application of advanced analytical methods to help make better decisions. Some examples of the fields where it is used: Decision tress are used in the field of operational research, a discipline that deals with the application of advanced analytical methods to help make better decisions. Some examples of the fields where it is used:
-  * business and economics+  * business and economics; project management
   * health economics   * health economics
   * public health   * public health
   * law suits   * law suits
 +
 +**Decision Tree Tools**
 +  * advantages: once you learn how to use them decision trees are quick and efficient; visual communication can be 6 times more effective than communication with words only
 +  * disadvantages:​ the software is only as good as the user; the program does not make the decision; the program is simply following your instructions,​ so learn how to give good instructions
 +  * MS Word and MS Excel
 +  * other specialized software:
 +1. Insight Tree 
 +  * easy to use if you are familiar with decision trees; it allows you to quickly add branches, optimize sub nodes, use different style sheets; free for personal use
 +  * [[http://​www.visionarytools.com/​index.htm]]
 +2. Lumenaut
 +  * add-in to MS Excel
 +  * provides a range of tools (Monte Carlo simulation software and Decision Tree analysis software) allowing you to build decision tree models from within Excel
 +  * allows for different types of sensitivity and statistical analysis
 +  * [[http://​www.lumenaut.com/​]]
 +3. Vanguard Studio
 +  * a standalone program and is described as combining features of artificial intelligence,​ math applications and spreadsheets
 +  * the decision tree software aspect has a nice wizard which takes you step-by-step through creating the whole decision tree
 +  * it also offers Monte Carlo simulation, another wizard for forecasting,​ statistical decision tree analysis and other methods
 +  * [[http://​www.vanguardsw.com/​products/​vanguard-system/​components/​vanguard-studio/​]]
 +4. SmartDraw
 +  *  popular for business graphics and allows you to quickly and easily draw various diagrams
 +  * [[http://​www.smartdraw.com/​]]
 +
 +=== 13. tjedan (28.5-3.6.2012.) ===
 +
 +__Summa summarum__
 +
 +//U sklopu diplomskog zadatka potrebno je razmotriti korištenje prezentacije znanja kroz stablo odlučivanja (eng. Decision tree).//
 +  * podatak - informacija - znanje; vrste znanja; kako eksplicitno prikazati znanje?
 +  * područja koja se bave prezentacijom znanja: psihologija obrazovanja i umjetna inteligencija
 +  * psihlogija obrazovanja:​teorija sheme (engl. schema theory of learning)
 +  * umjetna inteligencija:​ logički, proceduralni,​ strukturalni i mrežni prikaz
 +//​Istražiti stanje znanosti i tehnike u tom području te evaluirati raspoložive programske alate.// ​
 +  * objasniti svaki od načina prikaza i dati primjer alata
 +//Naglasak staviti na jednostavnost upotrebe za korisnike s minimalnim informatičkim vještinama te na dobavljivost i troškove korištenja alata.// ​
 +  * objasniti zašto su konceptne mape jednostavnije za uporabu od stabla odlučivanja
 +//​Prilagoditi jedan takav alat i istražiti njegovu upotrebljivost za savjetovanje pri odabiru literature za učenje ili odgovarajućeg obrazovnog programa.//
 +  * napraviti konceptnu mapu za ovaj problem
 +  * svi rezultati prikazani u wikiju i konceptnoj mapi istraživanja
 +
 +== Izvještaj sa sastanka, petak, 1.6.2012, 13:00 ==
 +  * prezentacija o stablima odlučivanja u analizi odlučivanja i planiranju
 +  * dogovorena izrada web aplikacije koja će pretvarati konceptnu mapu napravljenu u IHMC CmapTools-u u stablo odlučivanja
 +
 +
 +=== 14. tjedan (4.6-10.6.2012.) ===
 +
 +Napravljena Decision Tree Resolver aplikacija. Demo aplikacije dostupan na : [[http://​www.screenr.com/​BOr8]]
 +
 +=== 15. tjedan (11.6-17.6.2012.) ===
 +
 +Rad na aplikaciji. Pisanje rada.
 +
 +=== 16. tjedan (18.6-21.6.2012.) ===
 +
 +Predaja diplomskog rada.
studenti/mihita_cvitanovic/mc_start.1338118296.txt.gz · Zadnja izmjena: 2023/06/19 16:20 (vanjsko uređivanje)